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The primary objective of this research study is to identify possible manifestations of local climate change in 13 micro-basins in Northern Colombia through statistical analyses of temperature, atmospheric humidity, vapor density, and potential evapotranspiration. The hydrological response area is estimated to infer the effect on water supply using the curve number method. The results show an average increase of 0.66°C in air temperature. Atmospheric water vapor density reached an increase close to 16%, whereas potential evapotranspiration shows an average increase of 30.9 mm. Curve numbers greater than 80 are found in eleven micro-basins in more than 85% of their territories. It is concluded that trends of potential local climate change are related to the area’s physical state in terms of vegetation cover, as the main water and thermal regulator.

Cambios en el clima local y su efecto en la regulación hídrica en microcuencas del departamento del Magdalena, Norte de Colombia