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There is scientific consensus to the effect that human activity is changing the Earth’s climate more than can be expected as a result of natural variations (1, 2). Depending on the level of greenhouse gas emissions, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimates that in the course of this century the average global temperature will increase by between 1.1°C and 6.4°C compared with the period 1980–1999 (1). The concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is now around 390 parts per million (ppm) and is increasing by about 2 ppm annually. If we are to meet the internationally accepted target of not exceeding a global rise in temperature of 2°C, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere needs to be stabilised at a level around 350–400 ppm (3). However, new analyses indicate that a 2°C rise in temperature will have more serious consequences than previously believed. This figure can therefore no longer be regarded as a threshold between acceptable and dangerous consequences, but rather as a threshold between dangerous and extremely dangerous climate changes (4).

Klimaendringer - vår tids største helsetrussel