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The presence of excesses of short-lived radionuclides in the early solarsystem evidenced in meteorites has been taken as testament to close encounterswith exotic nucleosynthetic sources, including supernovae or AGB stars. Ananalysis of the likelihoods associated with different sources of these extinctnuclides in the early solar system indicates that rather than being exotic,their abundances were typical of star-forming regions like those observed todayin the Galaxy. The radiochemistry of the early solar system is thereforeunexceptional, being the consequence of extensive averaging of molecular cloudsolids.

Bayes' theorem and early solar short-lived radionuclides: the case for an unexceptional origin for the solar system