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The traditional speed prediction generally utilizes the Global Position System (GPS) and video images, and thus, the prediction precision mainly depends on environmental factors (i.e., weather, ionosphere, troposphere, air, and electromagnetic waves). We study the Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) data-driven vehicle speed prediction and proposed an improved extended kalman filter (i.e., the adaptive extended kalman filter, AEKF) algorithm. Firstly, the on-board RFID reader equipped in the vehicle reads the information (i.e., current speed and time) from the tag deployed on the road. Secondly, the received information is transmitted to the on-board information processing unit, and it is demodulated and decoded into available information. Finally, based on the vehicle state space model, the AEKF algorithm is proposed to predict vehicle speed and improve the prediction results, so that the vehicle speed gradually approaches the actual vehicle speed. The simulation results show that compared with the conventional extended kalman filter (EKF) algorithm, our proposed AEKF algorithm improves the dynamic performance of the filtering and better suppresses the filtering divergence process. Moreover, the AEKF algorithm also improves the precision of the Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) by 57.4% and 32.4%, respectively.

RFID Data-Driven Vehicle Speed Prediction via Adaptive Extended Kalman Filter