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Promoted by rapid industrialization and urbanization, the structure and spatial pattern of farming in China has changed greatly, and nongrain farming (NGF) has become more common. However, excessive NGF in some areas is not conducive to sustainable agricultural development and threatens China’s food security. In this study, we briefly analyze the stage characteristics of NGF in China and investigate the spatial agglomeration of NGF and its influencing factors from the perspective of spatial econometrics. The results showed that the average annual growth rate of NGF in China from 1985 to 2019 was 0.64%, and there was a growing positive spatial correlation between NGF in each province. Spatial Durbin model (SDM) estimation showed that both the per capita disposable income of local rural residents and the local urbanization rate promoted the development of NGF, while local per capita farmland, road density, and the functional orientation of the main grain-producing areas had a negative impact on NGF. The per capita disposable income of rural households and urbanization rate in neighboring areas had a promoting effect on the development of NGF, while road density in neighboring areas was negatively correlated with NGF. Ultimately, some targeted measures are proposed to promote China’s agricultural development in the new era.

Identifying the Determinants of Nongrain Farming in China and Its Implications for Agricultural Development