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Rockburst disasters in deep tunnels cause serious casualties and economic losses. It is a great challenge to make a warning for rockbursts in geotechnical engineering. In this work, a microseismicity-based rockburst intensity warning method is proposed that is suitable for use in deep tunnels in the initial period of microseismic (MS) monitoring. The method first involves collecting information on a sample of no more than five cases. Then, the event to be analyzed is combined with the sample events and subjected to cluster analysis. Finally, a rockburst intensity warning is generated according to the results of the cluster analysis or after a second cluster analysis. It is a comprehensive, multi-parameter rockburst intensity warning method that only needs a few rockburst cases for input which makes it suitable in the initial period of MS monitoring. The method also incorporates the novel idea of a second cluster analysis. An engineering application based on deep tunnels in the Jinping II hydropower station in Sichuan Province, China, shows that the rockburst intensity warning results based on the proposed method agree well with the actual situations in four tests carried out. The method will enrich the techniques used to warn of rockbursts based on microseismicity.

A Microseismicity-Based Method of Rockburst Intensity Warning in Deep Tunnels in the Initial Period of Microseismic Monitoring