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Artificial ground freezing (AGF) technology has been commonly applied in tunnel construction. Its primary goal is to create a frozen wall around the tunnel profile as a hydraulic barrier and temporary support, but it is inevitably affected by two natural factors. Firstly, seepage flows provide large and continuous heat energy to prevent the soil from freezing. Secondly, as a key soil parameter in heat transfer, the soil thermal conductivity shows inherent spatial variability, binging uncertainties in freezing effects and efficiency. However, few studies have explored the influence of spatially varied soil thermal conductivity on AGF. In this study, a coupled hydro-thermal numerical model was developed to examine the effects of seepage on the formation of frozen wall. The soil thermal conductivity is simulated as a lognormal random field and analyzed by groups of Monte-Carlo simulations. The results confirmed the adverse effect of groundwater flow on the formation of frozen wall, including the uneven development of frozen body towards the downstream side and the higher risk of water leakage on the upstream face of the tunnel. Based on random finite element analysis, this study quantitively tabulated the required additional freezing time above the deterministic scenario. Two levels of the additional freezing time are provided, namely the average level and conservative level, which aim to facilitate practitioners in making a rule-of-thumb estimation in the design of comparable situations. The findings can offer practitioners a rule of thumb for estimating the additional freezing times needed in artificial ground freezing, accounting for the seepage flow and spatial variation in soil thermal conductivity.

Modeling Seepage Flow and Spatial Variability of Soil Thermal Conductivity during Artificial Ground Freezing for Tunnel Excavation