English (United Kingdom)

https://curated-unify.zendy.io/wp-json/zendy-region/v1/featured_content/oa?rat=en

https://curated-unify.zendy.io/wp-json/zendy-region/v1/highlighted_journal/

Global: Zendy Plus annual

Presents the access of premium content as premium feature

Premium Content

Presents the keyphrase highlighting as premium feature

Keyphrase Highlighting

Presents the summarisation as premium feature

Summarisation

Insights

Presents the pdf analysis as premium feature

PDF Analysis

Presents the zaia usage as premium feature

ZAIA

Global: Zendy Tools annual

Global: Zendy Free Plan

Global: Zendy Tools monthly

Global: Zendy Plus monthly

Evident climate change has been observed and projected in observation records and General Circulation Models (GCMs), respectively. This change is expected to reshape current seasonal variability; the degree varies between regions. High-resolution climate projections are thereby necessary to support further regional impact assessment. In this study, a gated recurrent unit-based recurrent neural network statistical downscaling model is developed to project future temperature change (both daily maximum temperature and minimum temperature) over Metro Vancouver, Canada. Three indexes (i.e., coefficient of determinant, root mean square error, and correlation coefficient) are estimated for model validation, indicating the developed model’s competitive ability to simulate the regional climatology of Metro Vancouver. Monthly comparisons between simulation and observation also highlight the effectiveness of the proposed downscaling method. The projected results (under one model set-up, WRF-MPI-ESM-LR, RCP 8.5) show that both maximum and minimum temperature will consistently increase between 2,035 and 2,100 over the 12 selected meteorological stations. By the end of this century, the daily maximum temperature and minimum temperature are expected to increase by an average of 2.91°C and 2.98°C. Nevertheless, with trivial increases in summer and significant rises in winter and spring, the seasonal variability will be reduced substantially, which indicates less energy requirement over Metro Vancouver. This is quite favorable for Metro Vancouver to switch from fossil fuel-based energy sources to renewable and clean forms of energy. Further, the cold extremes’ frequency of minimum temperature will be reduced as expected; however, despite evident warming trend, the hot extremes of maximum temperature will become less frequent.

Long-Term Maximum and Minimum Temperature Projections Over Metro Vancouver, Canada