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Estimates of incident solar radiation for the southwestern United States from 4 general circulation models (GCMs) are evaluated by comparison to observed values. Results indicate that GCMs reliably simulate the annual solar cycle, but generally underestimate incident solar rad~ation for the southwestern United States. For climatic conditions resulting from a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, the 4 GCMs evaluated in this study estimate increases of 1 to 3 % of mean annual incident solar radiation simulated for current climatic conditions.

Incident solar radiation simulated by general circulation models for the southwestern United States