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Negotiations on agricultural trade liberalisation were launched at the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in March 2000, following on agreements made in 1994 under the Uruguay Round. Member countries of the WTO have agreed to continue the ongoing agricultural negotiations on the basis of Article 20 of the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture (URAA). Negotiating proposals have been submitted by member countries to the WTO, paving the way for the future trade round launched in Doha, Qatar. The Ministerial Declaration on November 2001 in Doha and future negotiations will influence the shape and dynamics of the comprehensive trade round. Different interest groups in the WTO have diverse proposals for the future agreement on agriculture. For instance, the Cairns Group has proposed for phased elimination of export subsidies and amber box support with a 50 percent cut in the first implementation year of the Next WTO Round. On the other hand, the EU has proposed that tariff and farm subsidy cuts to be along the same lines as in the Uruguay Round. It is uncertain what is going to be the outcome of the Next WTO Round, but certain assumptions can be put in place for projecting the impacts of the Next WTO Round. This study will focus on the impacts of the projected future WTO commitments on the EU’s dairy sector, meat sector, and cereals sector. In addition, the impacts of the prospective EU enlargement by including the ten Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries are assessed in relation to the future WTO commitments for export subsidies and domestic support.

The Next WTO Round on Agriculture and EU Enlargement: Pressures for Reforms in the EU Common Agricultural Policy