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The aim of this paper is to analyse the political, social and economic background of the divergence of Belarusian and Ukrainian transitions. We focus on Belarus in order to find ex- planation for questions such as why could Lukashenko remain the authoritarian leader of Belarus, while in Ukraine the posi- tion of the political elite had proved less stable and collapsed in 2004. On the theoretical framework of elite-sociology, we seek to determine whether the internal factors (as macroeco- nomic conditions, standard of living, the oppressive nature of the political system and the structure of the political elite) play a significant role in the operation of the domino e ect. This article emphasises the determining role of immanent internal factors, thus the political stability in Belarus can be explained by the role of the suppressing political regime, the hindrance of democratic rights and the relatively good living conditions that followed the transformational recession. Whilst in Ukraine, the markedly di erent circumstances brought forth the success of the Orange Revolution.

The socioeconomic background of the divergence of Belarusian and Ukrainian Political Systems