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The article is devoted to an important economic element agribusinessforesight the analysis of general economic conditions, and specifically the search for links in the production of agricultural products in general and domestic consumption of basic food products. As the main research methods for the current research there were used LASSO Regression method with a regularizer and Gradient Boosting Machine algorithm. The time series from 1991 to 2018, transformed into the form of annual percentage changes, were used as the initial data. At the beginning, a preliminary selection of features was made, and further two corresponding models were formed on the basis of the selected hyperparameters. As an additional target variable, a series of production was created with a time lag of one period in relation to the rest of the series. The degrees of the linear and nonlinear relationships for various types of food are determined, as well as differences in aggregates of crop production and animal husbandry are revealed. General recommendations are given within the framework of the policy for the development of the institutional environment of agribusiness and its foresight systems.

Foresight of Macro Environment in Agribusiness: Dynamic Relationships of Food Consumption and Agricultural Production (Analysis of the Relations between Agricultural Production and Domestic Consumption)