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A probabilistic methodology is proposed to evaluate fatigue damage accumulation and fatigue lives of specimens under variable amplitude loading. With probabilistic modifications in the present model, the calculative consistency is achieved between fatigue damage and fatigue life. The load sequence effects on fatigue damage accumulation are properly accounted for variable amplitude loading. The developed damage model overcomes the inherent deficiencies in the linear damage accumulation rule, but still preserves its simplicity for engineering application. Based on the Monte Carlo sampling method, numerical verification of this model is conducted under two kinds of spectrum loading. The predicted probabilistic distributions of fatigue lives are validated by fatigue tests on Al-alloy straight lug

A statistically self-consistent fatigue damage accumulation model including load sequence effects under spectrum loading