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From introduction: This report identifies mudflow flood hazards associated with a breach of the Spirit Lake debris blockage starting at a lake elevation of 3,475 feet. The report presents the results of an analysis of what would occur downstream if the blockage were to fail (according to a particular scenario) and if the ensuing flood were then to incorporate sediment to form a mudflow. Observations since the May 18 eruption indicate that in the event of a large flood a mudflow is likely to result.

Mudflow hazards along the Toutle and Cowlitz Rivers from a hypothetical failure of Spirit Lake blockage