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Urbanization can alter the hydrology of a watershed, particularly the magnitude and frequency of stormrelated flooding. Quantifying changes in streamflow that result from urbanization are critical for planning and designing bridges, culverts, stormwater-drainage systems, detention basins, and other stormwater-management facilities. Because data on storm-runoff volume and floodflow in specific areas are commonly unavailable, and future changes in these flow characteristics that result from urbanization cannot be measured directly, planners and engineers have come to rely on computerized models for this information. The Town of Camillus, a suburb of Syracuse, N.Y., like many suburban communities, has undergone recent growth and is expecting continued residential and commercial development. Concern over the hydrologic effects of future development has prompted efforts to assess the likelihood that (1) flooding of Ninemile Creek in parts of Camillus will increase as the amount of pervious surface area available for infiltration decreases, and (2) the use of stormwaterdetention basins to mitigate flooding could worsen flooding whenever the peak outflow from a basin coincides with the peak discharge in the receiving stream, thereby producing a larger peak discharge than would occur otherwise. In 1996, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Town of Camillus, developed a precipitation-runoff model representing a 76°30' Onondaga County and Detailed Area

Watershed modeling approach to assessing the hydrologic effects of future development in the Ninemile Creek basin, Onondaga County, New York