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Since the "the Belt and Road Initiative" initiative was put forward in 2013, China's investment in "the Belt and Road Initiative" countries along the belt and road has been increasing, which has played a positive role in promoting the political, economic, cultural and social development of the countries along the belt and road.However, everything has two sides. Behind the increasing investment, there are also more and more risks.Taking ASEAN countries as representatives, this paper firstly analyzes the current situation and characteristics of China's investment in ASEAN countries, then identifies and analyzes various risks faced by the investment, and finally conducts countermeasures research, signs bilateral and multilateral investment agreements, and establishes risk warning mechanism, which is extremely important for Chinese enterprises' investment. Keywords—The Belt and Road Initiative; Risk identification; Economic risk; Sovereign credit risk. 摘要—自从 2013 年“一带一路”倡议提出后,中国对 “一带一路”沿线国家的投资不断增加,对沿线国家的政 治、经济、文化以及社会的发展都起到了积极地促进作用。 但凡事具有双面性,投资不断增加的背后,也面临着越来越 多的风险。本文选取东盟国家为代表,首先分析中国对东盟 国家投资的现状与特征,其次识别分析投资所面临的各种风 险,最后进行对策研究,其中签订双边及多边投资协定,建 立风险预警机制等对中国企业的投资极为重要。 关键词—一带一路、风险识别、经济风险、主权信用风 险

Economic Risk Assessment and Prevention of China's Investment in ASEAN Countries under the Background of "the Belt and Road Initiative"