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Firstly, we define Z as the index measuring the ability of one region to meet its water demand. Next we design an intervention plan based on most influential factors in Xinjiang. The intervention plan has four aspects: Dispatch water resource, employ advanced irrigation technology, proper pricing mechanism and Recycling. We then construct the System Dynamic Model to simulate the influence of intervention plan on eco-system, local water situation and surrounding areas. We forecast the index Z in the next 15 years when the intervention plan takes effect to see its influence on the water situation in Xinjiang. As part of the plan, water is dispatched from Tibet (China) to Xinjiang. We analyze the influence of the plan on Tibet by predicting the index Z in Tibet when different proportion of water dispatched. Finally, we offer our recommendations on world water problem based on our paper.

A Macro Intervention Plan to Improve the Water Situation