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As the existing modeling methods for ship mission reliability are unable to effectively calculate the accuracy of mission reliability, this paper proposes a modeling method that divides a ship mission reliability model into the upper part and the lower part. The upper part is a complete mission profile based on meta task, while the lower part reflects the relations between mission and equipment through GTST. The Monte-Carlo method is employed to design the simulation algorithm for ship mission reliability, which takes into account the time to repair some equipment and is able to effectively address the relevance of mission phases. The operability and correctness of this method is illustrated with the mission reliability modeling and simulation of regular ship navigation. Keywords-ship mission reliability; schematic design; GTST; simulation.

A Ship Mission Reliability Modeling Method Based on GTST in Schematic Design Phase