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This paper reports an application of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) in the heat load forecasting field. The NWP is applied to obtain the correlated weather parameters of the heat load, and then the properly structured Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is designed to perform the prediction. Satisfactory experimental results are obtained by using actual heat load data in the north of China. The experimental result shows that the proposed NWP based method can predict the heat load precisely. Comparing with the traditional weather forecast based-method, the proposed method can effectively improve the forecasting accuracy.

Heat Load Forecasting of District Heating System Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Model