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Aluminum has an important position in the economic development of all countries in the world, especially industrial developed countries. Widely used in many sectors of economic and social development. In 2016, the consumption structure of China's aluminum sector is: 35% of buildings, 19% of transportation, 13% of electricity, and 9% of packaging. It is an indispensable important raw material for many industries today. We use the "S" model method to predict the aluminum demand in 2020 to 2030 in China. It is predicted that the consumption of primary aluminum in China in 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035 will be 36.8 million tons, 38.4 million tons, 38 million tons and 37.60 million tons, respectively. The peak consumption of primary aluminum in China will be reached around 2025, when the primary aluminum consumption will be about 38.4 million tons. Through the analysis of the latest aluminum industry policy, combined with the current situation in the aluminum industry, related countermeasures and suggestions on the safe supply of bauxite resources, optimization of the structure of the aluminum industry, and green development of the company are proposed.

The Prediction of Aluminum Demand Based on S-shaped Regularity and Research on Supply Proposal of China