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Using high precision laser ephemeris as reference, the precision of orbit prediction is analyzed of an analytical model which is formulated by quasi-analytical average method. The result shows that: the orbit prediction accuracy of MEO and LEO satellites is several hundred meters in 1 day and not more than 10km in 7 days. The position error changes quickly over time. The calculation speed is fast using the analytical model. It can be used for precise orbit determination for a short term about 1 or 2 days. And it also can be used for the general accuracy of the long-term orbit prediction. But if the prediction time is too long, the accuracy will drop sharply.

Precision Analysis of an Analytical Method in Space Debris Orbit Prediction