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This paper gives the comparison of the moving average, S growth and adaptive updating forecasting(AUF) models based on the rainfall-induced soil erosion area experiment. The results show that (1) the average relative error of the moving average method is 5.7%-12.1%, while S growth model has an error of 3%-9.7%and average relative error of adaptive updating model is between 3.4%-9.6%. (2) the moving average method is easy to be constructed; the S growth model owns good physical meaning; (3) the AUF model is very reliable since it combines two models.

Comparison of Moving Average-Based, S Growth-Based, and AUF Rainfall-Induced Soil Erosion Area Models