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This paper evaluates risk of management fraud based on the grey correlation model. In this paper, 442 samples are applied to build index system according to the fraud triangle theory; 68 ST companies with motivation of preventing delisting are chosen as training samples to calculate risk scores; Another 20 companies have been chosen to test the effect of the model recognition. Research results show that the optimal threshold to identify fraud and non-fraud company is 0.465, comprehensive recognition rate of testing samples is 85%.The grey correlation model has a good performance in evaluating fraud risk.

Evaluation of Management Fraud Risk Based on Grey Correlation Model —Evidence from China’s ST Companies