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This paper conducts the causal analysis between TI (TI) and economic growth of Gansu province in China using time-series data from 1986-2010, and it is directed by the means of time-series estimations through ADF unit root test, co-integration tests, error-correction analysis and Granger causality test. The purpose of the paper is to empirically investigate the impact of economic growth on TI of Gansu in China. The results suggest that TI does not appear to Granger-cause economic growth, and economic growth also does not significantly affect TI, which means some studies have overestimated the positive effect of TI on economic growth, and underestimated the influence of economic growth on TI. The paper slao predicts the future development of tourism industry in Gansu. Introduction The tertiary industry in China developed slowly for a long term with a low proportion in the national economy before the reform and opening up, which was mainly influenced by three factors. Since 1978, China’s tourism industry has entered a new historical due to the reform and opening. After 30 years of development, China has become the world tourist destination and established its distinctive image in the international arena, which has enhanced the mutual exchanges between China and the other countries, and expanded China’s international influence. Clearly, tourism is a comprehensive economic industry. The clear recognition of the industrial nature has enhanced the awareness of tourism development of capital for the tourism industry and hence to impact positively the ecomonic development. Gansu has rich in tourism resources. In 2009 the domestic tourist income reached 79.769 billion Yuan. the domestic demand from the residents in Gansu played an important role in the tourism development, and residents income had a major impact on the tourist income. However, the income from Gansu tourism and the related industries accounted for a very low percentage in GDP. Specifically, in 2007, 2008, and 2009, the total income of Gansu tourism accounted for respectively 18.97%, 19.46%, and 21.55% of the provincial GDP. This indicates that there is a huge room for tourism development in Gansu. Therefore, the study on the influence of Gansu residents’ income on its tourism development has important practical significance to maintaining a sustainable and rapid growth of Gansu tourism. From 1990 to 2009, GDP in Gansu has increased to 391.268 billion Yuan, with a 15-time growth, while tourism income has increased to 79.769 billion Yuan in 2009 from 0.09 billion yuan in 1990. It can be seen that GDP in Gansu growth was far slower than its tourism growth, indicating the considerable development prospects of Gansu tourism. Many Scholars have consensus on the relationship between TI and economic growth. Some suggested that TI are positively related to economic growth [1-3], while others investigated that they are not the truth [4-5]. Some empirical studies show that both TI and economic growth are interdependent and could lead to two way causality [6]. From the above overview, we can find a blurred picture that the relationship between TI and economic growth is not clear, and one specific growth-enhancing effect of TI is ambiguous in their findings. Pavlopoulo[7] illustrate the importance of distinguishing between developed and developing countries. Other scholars have successfully 1083 7th International Conference on Education, Management, Computer and Society (EMCS 2017) Advances in Computer Science Research (ACSR), volume 61

On Time-series Empirical Analysis of Tourism income and Economic Growth in Gansu China