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The web service QoS (quality of service) plays an important role in the evaluation and selection of web services. [1,2,3,4] In previous research on QoS prediction, there is a lack of a model that can dynamically predict the state of web services, and there is no revision of the prediction results. In this paper, an exponential smoothing based model for state prediction of web services is established, and a prediction correction method based on user evaluation is proposed. Combining the prediction results and correction methods, the accurate prediction of web service QoS is finally realized. Experimental results show that this scheme can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of web service QoS. Keywords—Web Service Quality; exponential smoothing; user rating; prediction

Exploration and Research on Prediction Methods of Web Service QoS