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Situation assessment is important for the prediction of a complicated problem involving numerous fuzziness and uncertainty factors. A novel assessment model using connection probability and connection potential of set pair was introduced here to predict the transformation tendency and assess the individual level based on data distribution. Connection probabilities of the certainty and uncertainty relationships and the transformation tendency were specified according to identitydiscrepancy-contrary criteria and connection expectation based on connection potential. The results of a case study of students’ achievements suggest that this model can be viewed as concise and quantitative expressions of certainty and uncertainty of the complex problem as a whole and dynamic transformation. Keywords-situation; set pair analysis; connection potential; uncertainty

A Novel Situation Assessment Model Based on Connection Potential