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This paper aims at the Sanhe-Pinggu M8 Earthquake in 1679, and uses the precise location of small and medium earthquakes to determine the source model and rupture properties of large historical earthquakes. Using the combination of deterministic numerical simulation method and finite fault random ground motion synthesis method, the broadband ground motion effect field of historical large earthquakes is obtained. Taking the broadband earthquake motion as input, based on the current economic and demographic data, the macroeconomic vulnerability model and life vulnerability model with GDP loss as the index are used to predict the loss of earthquake disasters in Beijing Area. This will provide support for the establishment of earthquake catastrophe model, and provide reference for insurance companies to set rates and establish earthquake risk compensation mechanism.

Study on the Economic and Population Loss of Beijing Area Considering the Recurrence of the Sanhe-Pinggu M8 Earthquake in 1679