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The article analyzes possible options of goods delivery routes from China to EU countries through Ukraine. The most preferred route is presented in the form of a technological scheme consisting of five elements. In order to assess the reliability of cargo delivery on the Caspian-Black Sea Route, a mathematical model is considered. Presented model takes into account such linear parameters as the time of the cargo operation at the points of departure and destination, the vehicle transporting time on the corresponding element of the route, the average time of overload in junction points of rail and sea transport.

Mathematical model for assessing the reliability of cargo delivery on the Caspian-Black sea route of the new Silk Road