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In this paper, a new method that predicts the pre-spud mud loss flow rate in formations with tectonic fractures of steeply folded structures is proposed. The new method is based on finite element analysis of the palaeo-tectonic and current tectonic stress field and fracture distribution. The steps of the method are as follows. First, palaeo-tectonic stress distribution is simulated through finite element analysis. The tectonic fracture distribution of the region is obtained by combining rock failure criteria with palaeo-tectonic stress distribution. Afterward, the tectonic fracture density, aperture, porosity and permeability are calculated by studying the rebuilding process of current stress to the fracture parameters. Finally, the mud loss flow rate is calculated according to fracture parameters and the basic data of a given well. The new method enables the prediction of the mud loss flow rate before drilling steeply folded structures

Pre-Spud Mud Loss Flow Rate in Steeply Folded Structures