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The spatial and temporal distribution of diatom assemblages in surface sediments, on the most dominant macrophytes, and in the water column at 38 locations in the freshwater Everglades, coastal mangroves, and Florida Bay was examined in order to develop paleoenvironmental prediction models for the region. Assemblages were grouped into three spatial clusters representing regionality in salinity and nutrient availability. Seasonal differences in diatom assemblages were distinguishable in clusters of coastal mangrove and Florida Bay sites, but not in the Everglades. Epiphytic assemblages differed from planktonic and epipelic, but more significant overlap between the latter two indicated low benthic habitat affinity or a high degree of mixing in the shallow waters of Florida Bay. The relationship between each taxon and salinity, water total phosphorus (WTP), water total nitrogen (WTN), and water total organic carbon (WTOC) was determined and incorporated into multi-taxon prediction models using weighted averaging partial least squares regression (WA-PLS). Salinity was the most influential variable to diatom assemblages, resulting in a highly resolved prediction model (r = 0.97, RMSEP = 2.64) that can be used to calibrate sediment assemblages and infer ecological consequences of changes resulting from changes in climate and water management in the Everglades drainage. Independent models predicting WTN, WTP and WTOC were also strong (r = 0.75, RMSEP = 0.16 ppm.; r = 0.75, RMSEP = 0.01 ppm.;

Quantitative Diatom-Based Reconstruction of Paleoenvironmental Conditions in Florida Bay and Biscayne Bay, U.S.A.