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This paper presents a model to simulate the freight demand flow of containers on an international scale, considering as a reference area the Mediterranean basin. The models specified and calibrated represent a development of models used in the literature and they are applied to assess the effects of modifications on the configuration of the national transport system. The modifications correspond to different exogenous scenarios, relative to national and international socioeconomic and demographic variables. Some results emerge from the analysis of the calibrated models, in particular concerning the importance of the different maritime services for import and export.

Container maritime transport on an international scale: a model to simulate the demand flow in the Mediterranean basin