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This paper details a methodology for quantification of errors and uncertainties of a finite element heat transfer model applied to a Ruggedized Instrumentation Package (RIP). The proposed verification process includes solution verification, which examines the errors associated with the code's solution techniques. The model was subjected to mesh resolution and numerical parameters sensitivity studies to determine reasonable parameter values and to understand how they change the overall model response and performance criteria. To facilitate quantification of the uncertainty associated with the mesh, automatic meshing and mesh refining/coarsening algorithms were created and implemented on the complex geometry of the RIP. Similarly, highly automated software to vary model inputs was also developed for the purpose of assessing the solution's sensitivity to numerical parameters. The model was subjected to mesh resolution and numerical parameters sensitivity studies. This process not only tests the robustness and numerical error with computation time. Agglomeration of these studies provides a bound for the uncertainty due to numerical error for the model. An emphasis is placed on the automation of solution verification to allow a rigorous look at uncertainty to be performed even within a tight design and development schedule.

Computational solution verification applied to a thermal model of a Ruggedized Instrumentation Package