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The air temperatures recorded at Warsaw-Okęcie in 1951-2010 werecompared with forecasts for the period 1980-2010 and 1991-2010, i.e. 31and 20 years ahead. Accurate predictions of air temperatures in Warsawin 1980-2010 were calculated using the cycles identified by applying thesinusoidal regression method to a series of monitoring results obtained inWarsaw between 1779 and 1979. The high accuracy of these forecastsis the result of a similar progression of measured and forecast valuesover a number of years. The prediction of climate change in the NorthernHemisphere for example, caused by interference of long solar radiationcycles as well as variations in the concentrations of the δ 18 O oxygenisotope in the Arctic ice cores, requires a larger series of data points.

Verification of forecasts of periodic changes in the climate of Warsaw in the period 1779-2010