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During the 21st century, the climate system is expected to change (IPCC, 2014). Besides rising temperatures, heat waves and intense precipitation events are likely becoming more frequent, and freezing days will probably decrease across Europe. Beside being a contributor, the built environment is largely affected by climate change (de Wilde and Coley, 2012). Many studies focus on the future building’s energy efficiency. Along with new technologies, they introduce retrofitting strategies for existing (heritage) buildings. However, these applications may not entail the most durable solutions (Straube and Schumacher, 2006). Interior retrofitting of solid masonry is known to increase the risk of freeze-thaw action, but few studies evaluate the – potential mitigating– effects of climate change. Moreover, no sound methodology exist to implement climate projections in HAM (Heat Air Moisture) simulations. This paper studies the difference between a ‘climate based’ and ‘response based’ analysis when evaluating the freezethaw risk in solid masonry, before and after internal retrofit, with regards to climate change.

xv international conference on durability of building materials and components. ebook of proceedings

Freeze-Thaw Risk in Solid Masonry: Are ‘Hygrothermal Response Based‘ Analyses Mandatory when Studying the Sensitivity of Building Envelopes to Climate Change?