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. In this paper, authors propose a method to predict deterioration of exterior finishes using Markov Chain Model based on field survey results on cracks of exterior finishes of existing RC buildings. There existed correlation between degradation of finishing and carbonation progress. Authors propose the service life prediction approach to focus on the carbonation suppression effect into the concrete considering progress of exterior finish deterioration.

Deterioration Prediction Model of Multi-Layer Coating Material and its Reference Service Life Evaluation in Terms of Carbonation Control Effect