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The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at   Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological   station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation   to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature   increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a   statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature   (0.039°C/year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with   annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest   periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February.   A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water   temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air   temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend   is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years) and February (49   years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North   Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Atlantic   Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60),   the AMO in autumn (0.52) and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air   temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer   (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role   of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water   temperature of the Danube. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike Srbije,   br. III47007

Hiatus in global warming - example of water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)