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Climate change affects regions differently and therefore also climate change   effects on energy systems need to be analyzed region specific. The objective   of the study presented is to show and analyze these effects on regional   energy systems following a high spatial resolution approach. Three regional   climate scenarios are downscaled to a 1 km resolution and error corrected for   three different testing regions in Austria. These climate data are used to   analyze effects of climate change on heating and cooling demand until the   year 2050. Potentials of renewable energies such as solar thermal,   photovoltaic, ambient heat and biomass are also examined. In the last process   step the outcomes of the previous calculations are fed into two energy system   models, where energy system optimizations are executed, which provide   information concerning optimal setups and operations of future energy   systems. Due to changing climate strong changes for the energy demand   structure are noticed; lower heat demand in winter (between -7 and -15% until   2050) and - strongly differing between regions - higher cooling demand in   summer (up to +355%). Optimization results show that the composition of   energy supply carriers is barely affected by climate change, since other   developments such as refurbishment actions, price developments and regional   biomass availabilities are more influencing within this context

Effects of climate change on regional energy systems focussing on space heating and cooling: A case study of Austria