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The aim of this article is to quantify the possible effects of a potential T-TIP between the US and the EU on production and exports of Turkey’s motor vehicles and parts sector. A partial equilibrium model is used to this end under two scenarios, the first one assuming only T-TIP, whereas the second one supposing a simultaneous free trade agreement between the US and Turkey. The simulations are based on the reductions in tariffs and nontariff barriers between the T-TIP partners in the first scenario, and between the US and Turkey, as well in the second scenario. The simulation results indicate that the prospective effects on the sector's production and exports differ significantly depending on different levels of integration. The results also reflect decreasing net welfare for Turkey and that a free trade agreement with the United States does not offer a significant market access potential for Turkey because of its production structure. Keywords: T-TIP, Turkey, GSIM, Motor vehicles and parts sector. JEL: F02, F15, F17, L62.  Potencijalni efekti T-TIP-a na sektor motornih vozila i delova u TurskojCilj rada je kvantifikovanje mogucih efekata potencijalnog T-TIP-a između SAD-a i EU na proizvodnju i izvoz turskog sektora motornih vozila i delova. Da bi se to postiglo, koristi se delimicni model ravnoteže u dva scenarija, prvi pretpostavlja samo T-TIP, dok drugi istovremeno pretpostavlja i sporazum o slobodnoj trgovini između SAD-a i Turske. Simulacije se zasnivaju na smanjenju carina i necarinskih barijera između T-TIP partnera u prvom scenariju, kao i između SAD-a i Turske, u drugom scenariju. Rezultati simulacije pokazuju da se potencijalni efekti na proizvodnju i izvoz sektora znacajno razlikuju u zavisnosti od razlicitih nivoa integracije. Rezultati takođe odražavaju pad neto blagostanja za Tursku i ukazuju da sporazum o slobodnoj trgovini sa SAD-om Turskoj ne nudi znacajan potencijal pristupa tržistu zbog njene proizvodne strukture. Kljucne reci: T-TIP, Turska, GSIM, sektor motornih vozila i delova.

Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector