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The aim of this paper is the measurement of currency mismatch for a selected   group of developing and frontier markets in the Central and Eastern Europe   and Western Balkan regions and the analysis of the effects of aggregate   currency misbalances on particular countries’ risk of default. The empirical   tests provided confirm the positive effect of currency mismatch on default   risk, which is reflected in the behaviour of yield spreads on the government   bonds of the countries under consideration. The higher the negative currency   misbalances are, the higher the EMBI spreads appear to be, and vice versa

An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk