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The 1997 drought — natural disaster or national disaster At first glance, the 1997–98 drought in Papua New Guinea was a natural disaster. Between December 1996 and March 1997 the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), which is the standardized difference in surface air pressure between Darwin and Tahiti and is the oldest and simplest measure of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon in the Pacific, fell from +12 to –25. This is the most spectacular fall in the SOI in the post-1950 history of ENSO events. In Papua New Guinea, usually one of the wettest and cloudiest places on the globe, rainfall declined across much of the country. Crops withered and died, local sources of drinking water dried up, and bushfires burned from the coast to the crests of the main mountain ranges, destroying economic trees, sago stands and dwellings. Above 2000 metres altitude, night time temperatures repeatedly fell below zero.

The 1997-98 Drought in Papua New Guinea: Failure of Policy or Triumph of the Citizenry?