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India is a country which has exemplary climate circumstances comprising of different seasons and topographical conditions like high temperatures, cold atmosphere, and drought, heavy rainfall seasonal wise. These utmost varieties in climate make us exact weather prediction is a challenging task. Majority people of the country depend on agriculture. Farmers require climate information to decide the planting. Weather prediction turns into orientation in the farming sector to decide the start of the planting season and furthermore quality and amount of their harvesting. One of the variables are influencing agriculture is rainfall. The main goal of this project is early and proper rainfall forecasting, that helpful to people who live in regions which are inclined natural calamities such as floods and it helps agriculturists for decision making in their crop and water management using big data analytics which produces high in terms of profit and production for farmers. In this project, we proposed an advanced automated framework called Enhanced Multiple Linear Regression Model (EMLRM) with MapReduce algorithm and the Hadoop file system. In the proposed model (EMLRM) first, we stored the unstructured weather data in hadoop distributed file system (HDFS), process that stored data by using MapReduce Algorithm and build the rainfall prediction model by utilizing Multiple Linear Regression. We used climate data from IMD (Indian Metrological Department, Hyderabad) in 1901 to 2002 period. The experimental outcomes show that the EMLRM provided the lowest value of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE= 0.274) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE= 0.0745) compared with existing methods. The results of the analysis will help the farmers to adopt effective modeling approach for predicting long-term seasonal rainfall.

An Adaptive Model for Forecasting Seasonal Rainfall Using Predictive Analytics