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Nishinomiya city has conducted a large-scale evacuation exercise for the citizens against the assumed Nankai-Trough Tsunami disaster on January 27 2013. In the occasion, we conducted the observation of the evacuee behaviors by GPS loggers. Then, a numerical evacuation model based on a multi-agent theory is constructed. The complex road network is incorporated in the modelling with the modification of some roads based on the on-site survey. The retardation of the evacuation by the evacuee density is also considered. The simulation is compared with the GPS log. The results indicate that the situation of evacuation training is reproduced by the model on some level. Finally, the evacuation of large number of people (10000) is tested with the numerical model.

ANALYSIS OF THE NISHINOMIYA LARGE SCALE TSUNAMI EVACUATION EXERCISE USING A MULTI-AGENT MODEL