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The information on unknown parameters of an oil formation can be express through a multivariate distribution of probabilities in space of parameters. A new quantitative method for carrying out of the discriminant analysis of models of an oil formation on the basis of hydrodynamic slits by sequential prediction of the probabilities of pressure modification is offered in this paper. Investigation of look-ahead probability for several models of the slit formation was conducted. The developed method can be used as a universal tool for carrying out of the discriminant analysis of models irrespective of the number of parameters.

Discriminant analysis model of oil formation based on forecast probabilities of pressure changes