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The change of area Ixodes persulcatus in accordance with the scenario of moderate anthropogenic impact on the climate system of the Earth RCP4.5 into the XXIst century will be expressed by a reduction in the Western part outside of Russia and expansion in the North of European parts of Russia and the North and East the Asian parts of Russia. Changes in accordance with the scenario of anthropogenic impact extreme RCP8.5 are fundamentally the same, but more pronounced. The change of area Ixodes ricinus in accordance with the scenario of moderate anthropogenic impact on the climate system of the Earth RCP4.5 is characterized by the absence of the downward trend. Range expansion will occur in the Northern and Eastern directions mainly in the EPR. There climatic conditions for its establishment in the South of Western Siberia, the Far East and Kamchatka. Changes in accordance with the scenario of anthropogenic impact extreme RCP8.5 will also be more pronounced.

problemy èkologičeskogo monitoringa i modelirovaniâ èkosistem

THE VULNERABILITY OF SUBJECTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION IN RELATION TO THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE MAIN VECTORS OF IXODES TICK-BORNE BORELLIOSIS AND TICK-BORNE ENCEPHALITIS IN THE EXPECTED CLIMATE CHANGE