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This work reports the exploratory analysis and stochastic modeling of the mean annual flow time series of the Piracicaba river basin main tributaries, from 1930 to 1995. This basin is located in one of the most developed regions of Brazil, has been severely modified through anthropogenic changes, the main of which is the inter-basin transfer of 31m3/s of water to supply the São Paulo City metropolitan area. A statistical study was carried out to detect main changes of flow evolution in time. The stochastic flow model was built using transfer functions, taking into account the model it was possible to calculate the percentage changes in the annual mean flow after a given intervention.

Análise de intervenção das séries temporais de vazão dos principais rios da bacia do rio Piracicaba