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Indonesia is one of the largest coffee producer and exporter in the world. Some countries that are the main destinations for Indonesia's coffee exports are the largest coffee importers in the world. China as one of the biggest coffee importer countries in the world, has not become the main destination country for Indonesian coffee exports even though coffee consumption in China is increasing. In addition, it is known that Indonesia and China have a free trade agreement called the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA). This study aims to analyze the factors that influence Indonesia's coffee exports to China, including the ACFTA agreement. The results of the study using time series data analysis with Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) approach showed that the world prices of tea, the price of Indonesian coffee exports to China, and the rupiah exchange rate against the yuan significantly influence the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to China in the short term. In the long run, value of Vietnamese coffee exports to China, the world prices of tea, the price of Indonesian coffee exports to China, the rupiah exchange rate against the yuan, and the application of ACFTA significantly influence the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to China. It takes 2 quarters to be corrected towards long-term balance.

Analisis Time Series Pendekatan Error Correction Mechanism: Pengaruh Penerapan ACFTA Terhadap Ekspor Kopi Indonesia ke China Periode 2006-2018