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This paper presents a model of economic growth based on the life-cycle hypothesis to determine the path of international capital flows as the baby boom passes through the U.S. economy. The model predicts that a baby boom causes a temporary increase in capital flow into the U.S. but the increase in capital is not sufficient to maintain the capital-labor ratio in the U.S. The baby boom increases saving in the U.S. but decreases the saving abroad due to the higher world interest rates.

The Baby Boom and International Capital Flows.