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VER the past four years, the stubborn strength of the U.S. dollar in foreign currency markets has created what many observers believe is a precar’ious balance between two undesirable features of the floating exchange rate system. On the one hand, some argue that the dollar’ is overvalued and, consequently, soon will fall dramatically, generating increased U.S. inflation and jeopardizing world financial stability. On the other hand, other-s asgue that the “high” dollar was a major cause of the 1981—82 economic recession and now assert that the cur-rent expansion is not sustainable without a substantial decline in the foreign exchange value of the dollar.’

What Can Central Banks Do About the Value of the Dollar?