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RESUMEN: Este articulo resume el estado del arte en relacion a la modelacion hidrologica y su capacidad de predecir los efectos del cambio climatico y del uso de la tierra sobre el ciclo hidrologico. En conclusion, se abordan los retos investigativos que la comunidad cientifica deberia considerar para poder observar y modelar, a escala regional, el ciclo hidrometeorologico en respuesta a los cambios de origen antropogenico sobre el clima y el uso de la tierra. Los resultados presentados en este documento son el producto de una extensa revision de literatura cientifica y de la experiencia personal de los autores. Dado que el enfoque principal de este articulo es el de modelacion hidrologica, muchos otros aspectos tales como las buenas practicas de la gestion integrada de los recursos hidricos, la gobernabilidad transfronteriza de las aguas, el establecimiento de marcos de trabajo institucionales, la potenciacion de las comunidades locales para su participacion efectiva en la gestion del agua y en la formulacion de politicas, entre muchos otros aspectos muy relevantes, no se consideran en este articulo para evitar que el enfoque del mismo se diluya de manera innecesaria. Palabras clave: Modelacion hidrologica, cambio climatico, cambio del uso de la tierra, retos de investigacion, revision extensa de literatura. ABSTRACT: This paper provides the state-of-the-art in hydrologic modeling regarding its capability of predicting the effects of climate and land use change on the hydrological cycle. In conclusion, the research challenges are pinpointed, which the community should address as to be able to observe and model, at a regional-scale, the coupled climate-water cycle in response to the human induced changes in climate and land use. The findings presented herein are a compilation resulting from an extensive literature review and the personal expertise of the authors. Given the focus on hydrologic modeling, many other aspects such as the best practices of integrated water resources management, cross-boundary water governance, the establishment of institutional frameworks, empowerment of local communities to participate effectively in water management and policy making, among many other very relevant aspects, were intentionally not considered as not to dilute the focus of the paper. Keywords: Hydrologic modeling, climate change, land use change, research challenges, extensive literature survey.

Modeling hydrological consequences of climate and land use change - Progress and Challenges