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The article considers the problem of prospective development of the Russian aviation services market. The complex research of dynamics and tendencies of a long-term air transportation market and aircrafts production development was conducted. By applying the economic techniques of comparative, index and horizontal analyses the authors made a forecast of passenger and freight air transportation volume for the most probable or basic option for the Russian economy development. The forecast is built on the basis of the world tendencies in air transportation market development and by taking into account aircraft cancellations during the studied period. The authors came to the conclusion that the growth of passenger and freight traffic volumes is provided not only by the intensity of aircraft operations, but also by an increase in production capacity of aircrafts. © Демин С.С., Зинченко А.С., Проскуряков В.А., 2017.

vestnik moskovskogo gosudarstvennogo oblastnogo universiteta. seriâ: èkonomika/vestnik moskovskogo gosudarstvennogo oblastnogo universiteta. seriâ èkonomika

FORECASTING THE DYNAMICS OF RUSSIA’S AVIATION SERVICES MARKET DEVELOPMENT